THE IMPACT AND THE OPPORTUNITIES OF COVID-19 ON HIGHER EDUCATION

Marguerite DennisINFORMATION FOR PRESIDENTS, VICE-CHANCELLORS, CHIEF INNOVATION
OFFICERS, ENROLLMENT MANAGERS, DEANS OF ADMISSION, REGISTRARS,
ALTERNATIVE EDUCATIONAL PROVIDERS AND EDUCATIONAL CONSULTANTS

MARGUERITE J. DENNIS

BULLETIN # 25 SEPTEMBER 21-25, 2020

REMINDER
The third installment of my white paper, The Reimagined University, will be
published by University World News on September 27, 2020. This portion of the
white paper will focus on the higher education opportunities created by COVID-
19. You can access this installment by logging onto:
https:// http://www.universityworldnews.com

You should worry less about Latin America’s short-term economic downturn, and
more about its long-term educational decline.
Andres Oppenheimer, The Miami Herald

FALL ENROLLMENT DATA – PRELIMINARY REPORTS
The information in this section is preliminary data on student enrollment numbers
for the fall 2020 semester. I will update in future bulletins.
UNITED STATES
The National Student Clearinghouse Research Center reported this week that
enrollment in the United States declined by 2.5% for undergraduate students.

Community college enrollment declined 7.5% and enrollment of international
students decreased by 11.2%.
AUSTRALIA
The Australian Department of Education, Skills, and, Employment Report
published figures for the fall term this week. Total enrollments declined 3.2% and
new student commencements decreased 18.4%.
I predict that these preliminary figures will, in the weeks to come, reveal declining
student enrollment in many countries, including many countries in Europe, and
Latin America. I also predict that student enrollment numbers will register
increases in many countries in Asia, Southeast Asia, and China.

INTERNATIONAL STUDENT MOBILITY TRENDS
Data on 123,309 Indian students by Yocker revealed that interest for the 2021
academic year has shifted slightly from the United States to Canada, the UK, and
Germany.
A World Education Services survey of 615 prospective international students
revealed that 67% did not believe the pandemic will impact their intention to
study in the United States. 20% were less interested in pursuing a degree in the
US.

COVID -19 AND THE ECONOMY
The United Nations’ World Tourism Organization’s report, World Tourism
Barometer, reported that international travel worldwide decreased 65% in the
first six months of 2020 and $460 billion has been lost in export revenue derived
from cross-border tourism.
60% of Asia is still closed to tourists. In Europe the figure is 17%.

COLLEGE LIFE ON US CAMPUSES
College is open, but life is shut down.

Paul Moakley, Katie Reilly, Time
As of September 22nd, more than 40,000 cases of COVID-19 have been reported
on US colleges and universities.

CHINA UPDATE
Over 800,000 Chinese students who studied in the US, UK, and Australia returned
to China this year in search of employment in an already crowded domestic job
market. This number increased 70% from 2019 and these returning students are
competing for jobs with 8.74 million new graduates from Chinese colleges and
universities, the largest number ever reported.
The implications for Chinese internal stability and future Chinese international
mobility are obvious.
CONCLUSION
As the real world knocks on our door, we crave nothing more than a little
direction.
Kristine E. Guillaume and Jeremy Tsal, Time
Higher education administrators are struggling with the unfamiliar and as the
quote suggests, crave direction. But no prediction can guarantee when the virus
will end, when a safe vaccine will be distributed, and when “normal” life,
including college life, will resume.
No forecast is better than a random guess. So much can, and probably will,
change before life returns to whatever it will be. That is why I believe it is so
important for college and university chief executives to begin to reimagine now
what their schools will “look like” after COVID-19 ceases to dominate our lives.

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